Show HN: Doom or Bloom, map your AI worldview with Jev

(doom-or-bloom.com)

25 points | by transitivebs 2 hours ago

8 comments

  • zaphar 7 minutes ago
    Depending on what exactly this analysis means by Human Choices I either think it captured me well or got me completely wrong:

       Human choices can make limited changes, but dominant forces constrain the outcome.
    
    I actually believe Human Choice is the dominant force here. But I expect aggregate human choice to limit the changes a single individual can have on the global outcome.
    • transitivebs 5 minutes ago
      yeah, moloch will come for us all in the end
  • thevinter 53 minutes ago
    > log-in with X

    No thanks? Also why do you even need a login?

    • john_strinlai 46 minutes ago
      it doesn't appear to be a requirement.
      • transitivebs 28 minutes ago
        yeah, it's purely optional. by default, your results stay private in your browser session

        but i wanted a way for people to publish their results to share w/ others

  • Suhinnall27 1 hour ago
    I believe your correct that this is a question everybody should ask themselves, and it would be very interesting to see how varied the responses are. I feel AI has been both a blessing and curse, and I hope it doesn't solely become the later.
    • transitivebs 26 minutes ago
      def plan to follow up w/ some anonymized analysis of the results if i get enough submissions
  • Marha01 30 minutes ago
    Gary Marcus in the center? He is a strong AI skeptic, I think he should be lower, away from the "Civilizational change" direction.
    • transitivebs 24 minutes ago
      i agree, but if you view the sources his answers are grounded in, he seems to have updated to being more moderate in light of recent progress. still def on the lower side of the predicted impact spectrum, but it seems he's taking the impacts more seriously now

      that's why it's so important to show the sources used to derive these positions. like https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/why-my-pdoom-has-risen-dra...

    • transitivebs 23 minutes ago
      i really spent a lot of time looking through results and trying to course-correct and fix the model where i found obvious issues, but it's definitely not perfect

      if you find any particularly egregious results, they're likely due to not having good enough public sources for that user's viewpoints. def let me know and i'll try to improve them

      thanks

  • ddxv 43 minutes ago
    P doom < 1 percent and at the bottom closest to incremental change.

    edit: I would be curious to see how I'd changed over time as well. I would guess I was much more worried a year ago

    • transitivebs 27 minutes ago
      really appreciate you taking the time to test it out && hope it was useful
  • ctoth 56 minutes ago
    Bloom (like a mold)
  • ModernMech 18 minutes ago
    Needs more dimensions for net worth and social media audience size.